Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 55.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 74.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
McMichael
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McMichael
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
51.8% (444)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
45.3% (150)
-4.7%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kuraly
Home
43.0% (298)
54.6% (304)
Away
42.5% (252)
45.5% (290)
By Period
McMichael
Kuraly
P1
46.5%
55.2%
P2
41.1%
45.7%
P3
41.3%
49.5%
Final 5 min
44.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |