Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Kuraly 48.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 89.3%
Defensive zone
McMichael 56.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 72.6%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
McMichael
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McMichael
Kuraly
Last 5: McMichael 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
McMichael
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
49.4% (445)
-6.0%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
100.0% (3)
-59.3%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
41.9% (117)
-11.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kuraly
Home
42.1% (444)
49.2% (248)
Away
42.8% (428)
47.3% (317)
By Period
McMichael
Kuraly
P1
42.5%
48.3%
P2
41.9%
44.7%
P3
42.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
39.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |