Connor McMichael vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 87.9%
Defensive zone
McMichael 54.9%
Neutral zone
McMichael 76.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
McMichael
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
McMichael
Kuraly
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
4
2
McMichael
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
McMichael
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
McMichael
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
51.5% (5,141)
-8.4%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
56.0% (100)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
44.2% (1,086)
-5.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kuraly
Home
42.6% (976)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
43.3% (904)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
McMichael
Kuraly
P1
43.3%
51.1%
P2
43.2%
49.9%
P3
41.9%
50.0%
OT
75.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |