Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 86.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 61.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 64.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
McMichael
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McMichael
Kuraly
Last 6: McMichael 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
McMichael
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
McMichael
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
52.3% (982)
-9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
41.9% (43)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
39.2% (245)
-39.2%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kuraly
Home
42.7% (178)
50.3% (680)
Away
43.1% (167)
48.5% (590)
By Period
McMichael
Kuraly
P1
40.7%
49.5%
P2
50.0%
49.6%
P3
36.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |