Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Smith 39.7% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
Smith 66.6%
Defensive zone
McMichael 68.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.4%
Result
Will Smith favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
McMichael
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
33.0% (191)
+10.1%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
48.1% (27)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
50.0% (2)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
McMichael shoots left. Smith is 36.2% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
McMichael
Smith
Home
42.6% (976)
33.6% (128)
Away
43.3% (904)
37.0% (92)
By Period
McMichael
Smith
P1
43.3%
37.1%
P2
43.2%
32.9%
P3
41.9%
33.3%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
35.0%