Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.4% vs Smith 39.9% (+7.8%)
Offensive zone
Smith 66.3%
Defensive zone
McMichael 67.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.3%
Result
Will Smith favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
McMichael
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,542)
33.2% (184)
+10.1%
Power Play
46.6% (133)
48.1% (27)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (143)
50.0% (2)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (601).
McMichael shoots left. Smith is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
McMichael
Smith
Home
42.8% (945)
34.1% (126)
Away
43.3% (873)
36.8% (87)
By Period
McMichael
Smith
P1
43.1%
37.9%
P2
43.4%
32.9%
P3
42.2%
32.7%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Smith
40.0%▲
36.5%
35.2%