Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Smith 43.7% (+14.1%)
Offensive zone
Smith 62.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 73.6%
Neutral zone
McMichael 50.9%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
McMichael
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
31.6% (38)
+10.8%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
0.0% (4)
+49.1%
On power play, McMichael has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
McMichael shoots left. Smith is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
McMichael
Smith
Home
43.0% (298)
23.5% (17)
Away
42.5% (252)
32.0% (25)
By Period
McMichael
Smith
P1
46.5%
25.0%
P2
41.1%
33.3%
P3
41.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.0%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
28.6%