Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Smith 41.4% (+10.3%)
Offensive zone
Smith 56.2%
Defensive zone
McMichael 54.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.7%
Result
Will Smith favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
McMichael
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
33.3% (153)
+10.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
56.5% (23)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
50.0% (2)
+2.9%
On even strength, McMichael has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. McMichael is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (39).
McMichael shoots left. Smith is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
McMichael
Smith
Home
42.6% (54)
35.1% (111)
Away
50.9% (55)
38.8% (67)
By Period
McMichael
Smith
P1
42.9%
41.5%
P2
40.5%
32.8%
P3
57.1%
33.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
36.5%