Connor Zary vs Elias Pettersson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Pettersson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Zary 45.1% vs Pettersson 46.2% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone Pettersson 56.0%
Defensive zone Pettersson 52.7%
Neutral zone Zary 50.0%
Result Elias Pettersson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Zary Pettersson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Zary
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
43.8% (630)
-0.8%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
56.3% (215)
-24.7%
On power play, Pettersson has a +24.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Zary is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Zary shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Zary
Pettersson
Home
43.5% (69)
48.3% (453)
Away
39.1% (64)
43.4% (495)
By Period
Zary
Pettersson
P1
46.0%
44.7%
P2
40.0%
46.0%
P3
36.8%
46.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%
41.5%
41.4%
Pettersson
50.0%
41.5%
45.8%