Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Pettersson 50.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 56.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Zary 51.5%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Zary
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
1
Zary
Pettersson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
50.4% (698)
-5.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
63.2% (57)
-63.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Zary shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Zary
Pettersson
Home
41.9% (62)
50.7% (420)
Away
46.8% (47)
50.9% (379)
By Period
Zary
Pettersson
P1
42.9%
48.0%
P2
42.5%
47.6%
P3
47.1%
57.5%
Final 5 min
16.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |