Connor Zary vs Elias Pettersson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Pettersson 46.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 58.6%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 54.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Zary
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zary
Pettersson
Last 7: Zary 4-3 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
2
Zary
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
4
1
Zary
Pettersson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
45.3% (4,569)
-3.5%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
54.6% (540)
-18.4%
On power play, Pettersson has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Home / Away
Zary
Pettersson
Home
41.3% (293)
46.8% (2,734)
Away
41.0% (212)
45.1% (2,613)
By Period
Zary
Pettersson
P1
40.4%
44.7%
P2
38.6%
46.0%
P3
45.2%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
39.7%
Final 5 min
34.6%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |