Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Zary wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Pettersson 47.7% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 56.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 82.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 71.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Zary
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Zary
Pettersson
Last 6: Zary 4-2 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
2
Zary
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
4
0
Zary
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
46.3% (790)
-9.7%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
53.1% (147)
-11.4%
On power play, Pettersson has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Zary shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Zary
Pettersson
Home
38.8% (152)
48.1% (489)
Away
34.8% (89)
46.9% (475)
By Period
Zary
Pettersson
P1
33.3%
47.4%
P2
31.7%
48.3%
P3
47.5%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
32.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Connor Zary |