Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Vatrano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Vatrano 46.5% (+10.7%)
Offensive zone
Zary 60.9%
Defensive zone
Zary 60.8%
Neutral zone
Zary 52.2%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Zary
Vatrano
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Vatrano
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
31.3% (16)
+14.0%
On even strength, Zary has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vatrano shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Zary shoots left. Vatrano is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Zary
Vatrano
Home
41.9% (62)
26.7% (15)
Away
46.8% (47)
41.7% (12)
By Period
Zary
Vatrano
P1
42.9%
16.7%
P2
42.5%
20.0%
P3
47.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
16.7%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
33.3%