Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Vatrano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Vatrano 49.3% (-9.8%)
Offensive zone
Zary 61.5%
Defensive zone
Vatrano 62.7%
Neutral zone
Zary 51.2%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Zary
Vatrano
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Vatrano
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
48.5% (33)
-11.9%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
0.0% (1)
+41.7%
On power play, Zary has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vatrano shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Zary shoots left. Vatrano is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Zary
Vatrano
Home
38.8% (152)
45.0% (20)
Away
34.8% (89)
50.0% (14)
By Period
Zary
Vatrano
P1
33.3%
55.6%
P2
31.7%
20.0%
P3
47.5%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
47.1%