Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Vatrano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Vatrano 49.1% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Zary 52.0%
Defensive zone
Zary 59.4%
Neutral zone
Zary 53.6%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Zary
Vatrano
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Vatrano
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
38.5% (13)
+8.6%
On even strength, Zary has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vatrano shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. Vatrano is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Zary
Vatrano
Home
45.6% (79)
40.0% (5)
Away
44.7% (76)
44.4% (9)
By Period
Zary
Vatrano
P1
48.3%
33.3%
P2
46.3%
66.7%
P3
39.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
75.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
42.9%