Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Hughes 40.3% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 69.9%
Defensive zone
Zary 63.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Zary
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
35.6% (281)
+9.7%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
50.0% (36)
-50.0%
On power play, Hughes has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Zary shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Zary
Hughes
Home
41.9% (62)
38.4% (198)
Away
46.8% (47)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Zary
Hughes
P1
42.9%
44.3%
P2
42.5%
34.2%
P3
47.1%
34.0%
Final 5 min
16.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%