Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Hughes 39.8% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.8%
Defensive zone
Zary 65.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.5%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Zary
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
36.8% (266)
+10.3%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
14.3% (7)
+17.3%
On power play, Zary has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Zary
Hughes
Home
45.6% (79)
35.1% (148)
Away
44.7% (76)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Zary
Hughes
P1
48.3%
43.0%
P2
46.3%
28.7%
P3
39.5%
35.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%