Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (37.3% vs 37.6%). Zary wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Hughes 39.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 63.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Zary
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Zary
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
37.9% (623)
-1.3%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
33.3% (33)
+8.4%
On power play, Zary has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Zary shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Zary
Hughes
Home
38.8% (152)
36.6% (314)
Away
34.8% (89)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Zary
Hughes
P1
33.3%
36.4%
P2
31.7%
35.6%
P3
47.5%
41.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |