Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Evans 52.0% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Zary 80.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Zary
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
54.4% (807)
-9.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
55.0% (20)
-55.0%
On power play, Evans has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Zary is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Zary shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Zary
Evans
Home
41.9% (62)
53.7% (581)
Away
46.8% (47)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Zary
Evans
P1
42.9%
54.6%
P2
42.5%
50.0%
P3
47.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
16.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%