Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Evans 52.6% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 72.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 72.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 95.8%
4.2%
95.8%
Zary
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zary
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
54.4% (824)
-17.8%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
66.7% (9)
-25.0%
On power play, Evans has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Zary is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Zary shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Zary
Evans
Home
38.8% (152)
55.1% (541)
Away
34.8% (89)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Zary
Evans
P1
33.3%
51.8%
P2
31.7%
53.3%
P3
47.5%
53.8%
OT
0.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
32.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Connor Zary |