Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 45.1% vs Carlsson 46.0% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 53.6%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 53.9%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 54.1%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Zary
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
47.1% (533)
-4.1%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
46.3% (80)
-14.7%
On power play, Carlsson has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Zary is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Zary shoots left. Carlsson is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Zary
Carlsson
Home
43.5% (69)
44.4% (340)
Away
39.1% (64)
46.5% (353)
By Period
Zary
Carlsson
P1
46.0%
48.2%
P2
40.0%
38.4%
P3
36.8%
50.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
41.4%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%