Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Carlsson 42.4% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Zary 66.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 65.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 52.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Zary
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
41.8% (648)
-5.2%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
37.3% (51)
+4.4%
On even strength, Carlsson has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Zary shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Zary
Carlsson
Home
38.8% (152)
44.5% (362)
Away
34.8% (89)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Zary
Carlsson
P1
33.3%
46.3%
P2
31.7%
35.1%
P3
47.5%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
32.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%