Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs McCarron 52.5% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 81.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.3%
Neutral zone
Zary 50.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Zary
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Zary
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
53.1% (672)
-6.0%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
18.2% (11)
+13.4%
On power play, Zary has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Zary is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Zary shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Zary
McCarron
Home
45.6% (79)
52.8% (477)
Away
44.7% (76)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Zary
McCarron
P1
48.3%
56.5%
P2
46.3%
53.2%
P3
39.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |