Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs McCarron 52.8% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 59.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 66.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 84.9%
15.1%
84.9%
Zary
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zary
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
54.5% (618)
-9.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
42.1% (19)
-42.1%
On power play, McCarron has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Zary is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Zary shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Zary
McCarron
Home
41.9% (62)
52.2% (339)
Away
46.8% (47)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Zary
McCarron
P1
42.9%
53.5%
P2
42.5%
50.6%
P3
47.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
16.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Connor Zary |