Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.4% vs Gregor 47.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 55.8%
Defensive zone
Zary 61.6%
Neutral zone
Zary 55.5%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Zary
Gregor
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zary
Gregor
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Gregor
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (146)
40.9% (44)
+7.0%
Power Play
30.0% (20)
50.0% (2)
-20.0%
On power play, Gregor has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Zary is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Zary shoots left. Gregor is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Zary
Gregor
Home
45.6% (79)
45.2% (31)
Away
46.0% (87)
33.3% (15)
By Period
Zary
Gregor
P1
47.7%
43.8%
P2
47.3%
35.3%
P3
41.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
56.0%▲
47.0%
45.8%
Gregor
44.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Connor Zary |