Scouting Report
Noah Gregor holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Gregor 51.6% (-14.3%)
Offensive zone
Zary 56.5%
Defensive zone
Zary 56.1%
Neutral zone
Zary 51.4%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Zary
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
63.6% (22)
-18.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Gregor has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Zary shoots left. Gregor is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Zary
Gregor
Home
41.9% (62)
58.3% (12)
Away
46.8% (47)
58.3% (12)
By Period
Zary
Gregor
P1
42.9%
77.8%
P2
42.5%
44.4%
P3
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
16.7%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
58.3%