Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Gregor 46.6% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gregor 51.5%
Defensive zone
Zary 59.6%
Neutral zone
Zary 52.5%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Zary
Gregor
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zary
Gregor
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Gregor
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
37.5% (32)
+9.6%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
0.0% (1)
+31.6%
On power play, Zary has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. Gregor is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Zary
Gregor
Home
45.6% (79)
37.5% (24)
Away
44.7% (76)
33.3% (9)
By Period
Zary
Gregor
P1
48.3%
45.5%
P2
46.3%
23.1%
P3
39.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Connor Zary |