Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Gregor 40.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 62.1%
Defensive zone
Zary 60.1%
Neutral zone
Zary 57.5%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Zary
Gregor
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zary
Gregor
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Gregor
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
36.7% (196)
+5.1%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
23.1% (13)
+13.1%
On power play, Zary has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Zary
Gregor
Home
41.3% (293)
35.4% (113)
Away
41.0% (212)
36.1% (97)
By Period
Zary
Gregor
P1
40.4%
36.9%
P2
38.6%
28.4%
P3
45.2%
44.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Connor Zary |