Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 60.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Zary 57.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Zary
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Zary
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
56.3% (739)
-11.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
58.6% (181)
-58.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Zary shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Zary
Karlsson
Home
41.9% (62)
56.5% (462)
Away
46.8% (47)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Zary
Karlsson
P1
42.9%
57.1%
P2
42.5%
55.2%
P3
47.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
16.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | William Karlsson |