Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-20.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 52.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 77.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Zary
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Zary
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Zary
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
58.6% (597)
-22.0%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
57.9% (57)
-16.2%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Zary shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Zary
Karlsson
Home
38.8% (152)
59.6% (344)
Away
34.8% (89)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Zary
Karlsson
P1
33.3%
53.1%
P2
31.7%
62.1%
P3
47.5%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
32.7%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Connor Zary |