Connor Zary vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zary 67.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 72.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.1%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Zary
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Zary
Karlsson
Last 10: Zary 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Zary
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Zary
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
4
2
Zary
Karlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
51.8% (7,849)
-10.0%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
54.8% (1,048)
-18.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Zary
Karlsson
Home
41.3% (293)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
41.0% (212)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Zary
Karlsson
P1
40.4%
50.3%
P2
38.6%
51.3%
P3
45.2%
52.4%
OT
0.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
34.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | William Karlsson |