Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Stepan 54.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 62.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 57.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 55.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Lazar
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lazar
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Lazar
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
54.5% (374)
-3.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
64.7% (68)
-26.9%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Lazar is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Lazar shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Lazar
Stepan
Home
43.5% (131)
54.5% (222)
Away
53.7% (147)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Lazar
Stepan
P1
53.8%
57.5%
P2
50.5%
54.7%
P3
41.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |