Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.4%). Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Cozens 48.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 79.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 59.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 57.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Lazar
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Lazar
Cozens
Last 10: Lazar 1-9 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
6
Lazar
Cozens
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Cozens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
9
Lazar
Cozens
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
48.9% (4,075)
+1.3%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
50.4% (714)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
41.0% (439)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Home / Away
Lazar
Cozens
Home
50.1% (1,542)
48.2% (2,677)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
48.6% (2,551)
By Period
Lazar
Cozens
P1
48.9%
49.1%
P2
48.9%
47.7%
P3
49.5%
48.8%
OT
56.5%
34.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |