Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.6%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Cozens 50.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 79.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 58.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 63.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Lazar
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lazar
Cozens
Last 6: Lazar 1-5 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
3
Lazar
Cozens
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Lazar
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
51.4% (891)
+0.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.5% (184)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
42.4% (85)
+4.8%
On power play, Lazar has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Lazar
Cozens
Home
49.7% (163)
49.5% (638)
Away
52.3% (237)
51.9% (522)
By Period
Lazar
Cozens
P1
46.9%
51.9%
P2
53.3%
46.4%
P3
53.3%
54.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |