Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Cozens 46.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 89.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 52.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 71.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Lazar
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lazar
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Lazar
Cozens
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Lazar
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
45.6% (746)
+5.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.8% (65)
-50.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
34.5% (29)
+3.3%
On power play, Cozens has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lazar is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Lazar shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Lazar
Cozens
Home
43.5% (131)
43.9% (410)
Away
53.7% (147)
47.2% (430)
By Period
Lazar
Cozens
P1
53.8%
46.4%
P2
50.5%
41.6%
P3
41.2%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |