Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Cozens 45.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 63.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 56.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 57.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Lazar
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lazar
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Lazar
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
46.7% (786)
+2.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
43.9% (171)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
42.3% (189)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Lazar
Cozens
Home
49.2% (189)
46.2% (567)
Away
48.3% (176)
44.9% (579)
By Period
Lazar
Cozens
P1
50.8%
46.5%
P2
45.2%
46.5%
P3
50.0%
44.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |