Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.5%). Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.3% vs Cozens 48.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 60.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 74.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 61.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Lazar
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Lazar
Cozens
Last 10: Lazar 5-5 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Cozens
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Cozens
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
5
Lazar
Cozens
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (272)
44.4% (187)
+5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
85.7% (14)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
100.0% (1)
-63.2%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Lazar shoots right. Cozens is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Lazar
Cozens
Home
47.8% (157)
40.2% (87)
Away
47.8% (178)
53.0% (115)
By Period
Lazar
Cozens
P1
41.7%
48.4%
P2
50.8%
46.2%
P3
50.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.8%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |