Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.3% vs Hughes 37.4% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 73.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Lazar
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Lazar
Hughes
Last 10: Lazar 4-6 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
3
Lazar
Hughes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Hughes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
2
Lazar
Hughes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (272)
35.7% (569)
+13.9%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
33.3% (36)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
16.7% (6)
+20.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lazar is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Lazar shoots right. Hughes is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hughes
Home
47.8% (157)
37.8% (333)
Away
47.8% (178)
32.4% (278)
By Period
Lazar
Hughes
P1
41.7%
38.8%
P2
50.8%
28.3%
P3
50.0%
38.6%
OT
75.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
31.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |