Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Hughes 40.3% (+11.6%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 77.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 72.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 53.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lazar
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
35.6% (281)
+13.1%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
50.0% (36)
-5.6%
On even strength, Lazar has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hughes
Home
49.2% (189)
38.4% (198)
Away
48.3% (176)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Lazar
Hughes
P1
50.8%
44.3%
P2
45.2%
34.2%
P3
50.0%
34.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%