Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Hughes 38.0% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 87.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 72.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 58.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 87.4%
12.6%
87.4%
Lazar
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lazar
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Lazar
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
34.5% (342)
+16.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
25.0% (4)
+12.8%
On power play, Hughes has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hughes
Home
43.5% (131)
32.6% (187)
Away
53.7% (147)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Lazar
Hughes
P1
53.8%
33.9%
P2
50.5%
34.2%
P3
41.2%
36.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.9%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |