Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Hughes 36.6% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 86.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 78.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Lazar
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Lazar
Hughes
Last 10: Lazar 4-6 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
4
Lazar
Hughes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Hughes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
2
Lazar
Hughes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
36.0% (2,887)
+14.2%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
38.8% (224)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
31.0% (42)
+10.9%
On even strength, Lazar has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hughes
Home
50.1% (1,542)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Lazar
Hughes
P1
48.9%
36.9%
P2
48.9%
33.6%
P3
49.5%
38.1%
OT
56.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.9%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |