Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Carter 58.5% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 56.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 73.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Lazar
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
59.7% (727)
-6.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
68.1% (72)
+31.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
53.2% (139)
-19.9%
On power play, Lazar has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lazar shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Lazar
Carter
Home
57.1% (119)
58.7% (455)
Away
47.1% (153)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Lazar
Carter
P1
53.1%
61.3%
P2
52.2%
57.1%
P3
48.8%
59.8%
Final 5 min
42.0%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |