Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Carter 60.1% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 77.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 79.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 76.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Lazar
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Lazar
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Lazar
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lazar
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
65.6% (262)
-16.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
68.3% (63)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
50.5% (99)
-0.5%
On power play, Carter has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Lazar
Carter
Home
49.2% (189)
64.3% (207)
Away
48.3% (176)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Lazar
Carter
P1
50.8%
65.3%
P2
45.2%
60.1%
P3
50.0%
63.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |