Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Carter 53.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 70.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 75.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Lazar
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Lazar
Carter
Last 10: Lazar 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Lazar
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
4
Lazar
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
7
Lazar
Carter
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
53.3% (8,728)
-3.1%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
57.3% (1,554)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
46.3% (1,087)
-4.4%
On power play, Carter has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Lazar
Carter
Home
50.1% (1,542)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Lazar
Carter
P1
48.9%
53.6%
P2
48.9%
52.8%
P3
49.5%
53.1%
OT
56.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |