Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Tavares 59.8% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 86.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 66.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Lazar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lazar
Tavares
Last 5: Lazar 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Lazar
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
60.9% (1,043)
-9.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.4% (278)
-60.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
47.6% (21)
-9.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Lazar
Tavares
Home
43.5% (131)
63.5% (684)
Away
53.7% (147)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Lazar
Tavares
P1
53.8%
60.3%
P2
50.5%
60.4%
P3
41.2%
60.1%
OT
100.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.9%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |