Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Tavares 58.7% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 61.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Lazar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lazar
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Lazar
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
59.2% (1,035)
-10.5%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
60.0% (310)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Lazar
Tavares
Home
49.2% (189)
57.5% (668)
Away
48.3% (176)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Lazar
Tavares
P1
50.8%
58.0%
P2
45.2%
60.1%
P3
50.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |