Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 69.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lazar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lazar
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Lazar
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
57.7% (998)
-6.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
60.5% (271)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
56.4% (39)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Lazar
Tavares
Home
49.7% (163)
59.7% (610)
Away
52.3% (237)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Lazar
Tavares
P1
46.9%
57.2%
P2
53.3%
58.5%
P3
53.3%
59.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |