Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Hayes 56.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 52.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 56.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 54.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Lazar
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lazar
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Lazar
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
56.6% (724)
-7.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.0% (79)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
65.7% (35)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hayes
Home
49.2% (189)
58.0% (405)
Away
48.3% (176)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Lazar
Hayes
P1
50.8%
54.7%
P2
45.2%
55.7%
P3
50.0%
60.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |