Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +25.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Hayes 42.7% (+25.6%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 86.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Lazar
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
31.9% (91)
+31.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
64.3% (14)
-64.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
0.0% (1)
+56.3%
On power play, Hayes has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hayes
Home
63.3% (128)
30.6% (49)
Away
59.3% (118)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Lazar
Hayes
P1
64.6%
22.9%
P2
60.5%
40.0%
P3
59.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
68.4%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%