Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs McTavish 51.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 58.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 64.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 54.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Lazar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lazar
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
51.3% (725)
-2.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
55.8% (113)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Lazar
McTavish
Home
49.2% (189)
52.0% (454)
Away
48.3% (176)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Lazar
McTavish
P1
50.8%
51.3%
P2
45.2%
50.4%
P3
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |